Possible scenario
UK Trial Proceeds
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the Crown Prosecution Service and Metropolitan Police War Crimes Team keep the case in the UK courts rather than transferring it abroad. Given the historic nature of the allegations, proceedings are likely to move slowly but remain intact through committal, disclosure, and witness-handling stages.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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