Possible scenario
Evidence Challenges Dominate
25% Chance
The defence is likely to test the admissibility of evidence gathered through Rwandan institutions, especially given prior UK court scrutiny of torture-tainted material in Rwanda-related extradition litigation. Even if the case does not collapse, pre-trial rulings could narrow the prosecution substantially.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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