Trump Retains GOP Grip

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Despite private anger, most House Republicans avoid a public break because Trump still commands the party’s primary electorate and media ecosystem. The GOP leadership frames the losses as candidate-quality and turnout failures rather than a reason to abandon Trump.

What it moves

Technology−0.2%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.2%
Finance+0.1%
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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