Race Becomes Toss-Up

28%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Obama’s endorsement, Buttigieg’s backing, and Senate Majority PAC investment combine with high Democratic enthusiasm to make the race genuinely competitive. Trump’s rally prevents a collapse, but national committees increasingly treat Mississippi as a live Senate battleground.

What it moves

Energy−0.1%
Finance−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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