The narrow margin represents a shift from Oct. 16, when Democrats held a 3.9 point lead with 40.8% of 257,570 returned statewide ballots. Republicans currently maintain a registration advantage of 313,000 and hold 101,280 more outstanding ballots than Democrats. These totals do not account for split ticket voting or the final breakdown of independent voters on election day.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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Republicans Narrow Arizona Early Vote Gap to 0.1 Point
US Politics2 days ago
Democratic and Republican shares of Arizona's early votes reached near parity on Oct. 19, splitting returns at 38.7% and 38.6% respectively. Data from Stealth Polling showed these figures among 55,520 ballots cast that day, with independents and other voters accounting for 22.8%. Republicans have recorded higher percentages in recent early ballot drops in Pima and Maricopa counties.
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