Possible scenario
Congress Rejects Bill
18%
−0.8%
Congress rejects the rescue bill outright, forcing the Finance Ministry to rely on emergency spending cuts, expensive short-term borrowing, and cash-management measures. This sharply raises downgrade and rollover risks but does not necessarily trigger an immediate missed payment.
What it moves
- Finance−0.9%
- Energy−0.5%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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