Possible scenario
Challenges Morrisey Directly
25% Chance
Justice waits until after the 2026 midterms and then announces a campaign to reclaim the governorship. This would create a high-profile Republican primary between two statewide officeholders, but West Virginia's strong GOP lean would still make the Republican nominee favored in November.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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