Possible scenario
Brokered GOP Deal
18% Chance
Republican leaders try to avoid a damaging primary by arranging a deal among Justice, Morrisey and other senior state figures. This path becomes more plausible if national Republicans need Justice's Senate vote or if Morrisey's future plans change.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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