Diplomacy Drags On

31%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The demilitarized-zone proposal remains alive but produces no enforceable agreement. Both sides use the process to test concessions, manage Western political pressure, and avoid being blamed for rejecting peace.

What it moves

Energy+0.1%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.1%
Market volatility▼ down
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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