Possible scenario
Fed Narrative Shifts
20% Chance
The next move may be driven less by the selloff itself and more by whether Fed officials validate or soften the market's rate-hike fears. With 10-year yields already near multi-decade highs, even small changes in policy language can move risk assets.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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