Possible scenario
Status Quo Returns
30% Chance
The vote settles the immediate secession question, but the core federal-provincial disputes remain. Markets largely hold the Canadian-dollar move already registered, with limited incremental reaction in global assets.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- CNQ-0.3%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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