Possible scenario
Asia Replaces Supply
18% Chance
Asian buyers respond quickly by drawing more cargoes from India, South Korea and the Middle East. The Chinese export cut still hurts PetroChina, but broader regional fuel availability improves as other refiners capture higher margins.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.5%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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