Possible scenario
Selective Sector Compromise
25% Chance
Paris secures relief for some French exporters, but the broader EU trade-defense framework remains intact. This outcome fits the political constraints inside the EU, where several member states still support a tougher stance on Chinese subsidies.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.9%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
- STLA-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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