Possible scenario
Paxton Extends Lead
45% Chance
Trump's Oct. 7 San Antonio rally helps Ken Paxton unify Republican voters after the primary and keeps the Texas Senate race leaning GOP. Paxton's acquittal and dropped fraud charges reduce the effectiveness of Democratic attacks among Republican-leaning voters.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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