Possible scenario
Controversy Reopens Attacks
15% Chance
Opponents use the rally's national attention to revive Paxton's impeachment history and ethics allegations. The legal issues have already been adjudicated politically inside the GOP, but renewed coverage could affect swing voters in the general election.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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