Possible scenario
Execution Frictions Dominate
20% Chance
The reserve faces ordinary but meaningful implementation problems: appropriations timing, trader due diligence, storage costs, and environmental review of domestic projects. This does not reverse the strategic direction, but it slows the flow of money into miners and processors.
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -0.8%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- MP-3.0%
- UAMY-2.2%
- EFR-1.2%
- -0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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