Possible scenario
Knesset Deadlock
22%
−0.4%
No bloc wins a governing majority, leaving Israel with a caretaker government and weeks of negotiations. This is realistic because fragmented party lists, threshold risk and disputes over an Oct 7 probe could prevent either Netanyahu or Eisenkot from assembling 61 seats quickly.
What it moves
- Finance−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
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