Eisenkot Bloc Wins

Gadi Eisenkot’s camp, likely anchored by National Unity and Yesh Atid, wins enough seats to replace Benjamin Netanyahu after a campaign centered on the Oct 7 failures, hostage policy and civil-military trust. This is the single most likely change-of-government outcome given the opposition’s recent focus on attack warnings and accountability.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.