Possible scenario
Probe Loses Momentum
30% Chance
The search, subpoenas, and seizure produce insufficient evidence for a criminal case. Investigators either close the matter quietly or leave it unresolved while Omar's lawyers challenge the handling of DNA and travel documents.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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