Possible scenario
Citizenship Fight Escalates
20% Chance
The most aggressive track advances if investigators believe citizenship, identity, immigration, or family-history evidence supports a denaturalization theory. This would be legally unusual for a sitting member of Congress and would likely trigger immediate constitutional and due-process litigation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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