The current projection is an increase from the Harris +9.8 lean estimated before the voting period began. Zachary Donnini, who maintains the tracker, attributed the change to turnout from Democratic voters with low propensities to vote. The figures will update as more ballots are cast in the state.
Wednesday, October 21, 2026
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VoteHub Projects Virginia 2026 Electorate at Harris +10.4
US Politics19 days ago
Early ballot counts in Virginia show an 8.8% turnout of expected votes that favors Democratic candidates. A tracker from VoteHub projects the 2026 electorate at Harris +10.4, compared to the result of Harris +5.8 in 2024. This shift represents a 4.6 point boost for Democrats in the current voting environment according to the latest model.
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