GOP Expands Mandate

15%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.6%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans outperform expectations, expanding their Senate majority and adding or preserving House seats despite typical midterm headwinds. This strengthens Trump’s leverage on tax cuts, policing funds, energy permitting, and deregulation.

What it moves

Finance+1.0%
Industrials+0.8%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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