Supreme Court Track

13%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The Supreme Court becomes the main venue for deciding whether CFTC-regulated event contracts can override state gambling laws. This path delays final clarity, but it could produce a national rule for prediction markets, sportsbooks, and gaming regulators.

What it moves

Consumer Services−0.1%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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