Possible scenario
Vendor Risk Broadens
21% Chance
Bitget has attributed the exploit to a third-party security zero-day, and the longer intrusion timeline could shift attention to vendor controls rather than only Bitget's internal procedures. The key question is whether the flaw was unique to Bitget's deployment or present across other crypto clients.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.