Containment Holds

The most likely path is that SlowMist's Aug. 31 timeline becomes part of a fuller postmortem rather than evidence of continuing compromise. Bitget has already restored withdrawals, so near-term outcomes hinge on whether users believe losses are ring-fenced and reimbursable.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.