Possible scenario
Cooper Holds Lead
50% Chance
Roy Cooper converts his polling advantage and statewide name recognition into a Democratic pickup of Thom Tillis's open seat. Michael Whatley's close identification with Donald Trump helps with the GOP base but limits crossover appeal in the Charlotte and Research Triangle suburbs.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.4%
- Finance -0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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