Projections by analyst Lakshya show the Democratic lead among Hispanics rose from 8 points to 26 points, and the Republican advantage among non-college whites shrank from 27 points to 16 points. Overall, Democrats hold a 9.1 point lead among likely voters and a 6.6 point lead among registered voters. Some observers attribute these trends to inflation and the Iran war, though others warn that polling often misses specific movements among white voters in North Carolina.
