Prediction markets are showing rising probabilities of the union, with Kalshi pricing in 71% odds that the firms merge before 2028. Analysis from Axios suggests that advancements in artificial intelligence may be the primary driver for a tie-up this autumn. The combined business would integrate Musk's chip production, satellite intelligence, and robotics capabilities under a single corporate roof.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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Musk Would Gain 56% Voting Power in Proposed All Stock Tesla SpaceX Merger
Business5 days ago
Tesla investors may receive roughly 0.7 shares of SpaceX for every share they own in a potential merger of Elon Musk's companies, Barclays analyst Dan Levy wrote in a recent note. The analysis outlines a structure where SpaceX acquires Tesla in an all-stock transaction before the carmaker's annual general meeting on December 6. Under these terms, Musk would hold approximately 37% of the combined company's ownership and 56% of its voting power.
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