Possible scenario
Limited Spending Freeze
30% Chance
The court grants a narrow temporary order preventing DHS or CBP from using the disputed leftover funds for the Trump-themed immigration ads. This outcome is plausible because the watchdogs are pointing to a specific remaining balance and asking only for emergency preservation of funds.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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