Possible scenario
Voluntary Cure
20% Chance
DHS moves to blunt the litigation by confirming that no more taxpayer-funded ads will run and that the remaining funds will be reprogrammed or returned. MAGA Inc. continues privately funded immigration messaging, separating the campaign from federal appropriations concerns.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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