Disputed Election Finish

7%its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The endorsement contributes to an exceptionally close result, and both parties prepare for recounts, ballot challenges, and litigation. Because the race may affect Senate control, the uncertainty receives national attention.

What it moves

Finance+0.2%
Healthcare+0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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