Prolonged legal fight
−0.2%
The prior warning about Maine vote-counting uncertainty becomes more serious, and the campaigns challenge procedures or ballot batches. This is a low-probability path but would generate the most uncertainty from this race.
What it moves
- Technology−0.3%
- Finance−0.3%
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.