Possible scenario
Wiles Survives Reset
27% Chance
Susie Wiles remains chief of staff after Trump cools on an immediate shake-up and accepts a narrower internal reset. Clayton stays in the mix for another senior post, but the administration avoids the disruption of a rapid replacement.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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