The warnings follow a September rate hike that Paulson said was driven by inflation reports and improved the central bank's inflation-fighting posture. The Fed's dot plot reinforces this hawkish shift, with 16 of 18 officials expecting at least one more hike in 2026. Market expectations have responded, as Kalshi's forecast for the number of rate hikes this year climbed to 2.4 from approximately 2.1 earlier in the week.
