Possible scenario
GOP House Survives
−0.1%
Mullock’s victory is a notable Democratic pickup, but Republicans offset it by holding enough other competitive seats to retain the House. Van Drew’s defeat becomes a warning sign for the GOP rather than a chamber-changing result.
What it moves
- Finance+0.2%
- Energy+0.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- 10-year Treasury yield
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