Possible scenario
Rule Largely Sticks
45% Chance
The administration implements the earnings-test cutoff with only limited technical changes. Most affected programs are concentrated at for-profit colleges and expensive low-completion professional degrees, forcing closures, teach-outs, and enrollment redirection.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.5%
- Business Services -0.5%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- PRDO-9.4%
- STRA-7.5%
- LOPE-4.8%
- -2.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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