Possible scenario
Courts Narrow Rule
25% Chance
Schools, trade groups, and some state attorneys general challenge the loan cutoff under the Administrative Procedure Act and statutory-authority arguments. Courts are unlikely to erase the earnings-test framework entirely, but timing and scope could be narrowed.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.9%
- Business Services +0.3%
Tickers
- PRDO+4.6%
- STRA+4.0%
- LOPE+3.1%
- CVSA+2.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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