Possible scenario
Regulatory Scrutiny Broadens
15% Chance
The explosion draws more attention from maritime, environmental, and safety regulators because debris entered the Pacific after splashdown. This does not halt Starship, but it complicates approvals and public communications around future ocean landings.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.3%
Tickers
- SPCX-3.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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