Possible scenario
Contained Flight Delay
30% Chance
Regulators classify the explosion as a mishap because the vehicle destructed after splashdown, requiring a formal corrective-action process. The delay is meaningful but not program-threatening because the main ascent, orbital, and reentry objectives were achieved.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.3%
Tickers
- SPCX-3.4%
- RKLB+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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