Trump Fires Hegseth

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Trump decides that keeping Hegseth is politically costlier than dismissing him, especially after publicly blaming him for the Iran war. Firing Hegseth lets Trump claim control of the situation while trying to stop a damaging House impeachment spectacle.

What it moves

Industrials−0.2%
Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Trump Fires Hegseth

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