Possible scenario
Enforcement Broadens Further
21% Chance
The slowdown becomes part of a larger enforcement program tied to the DOJ denaturalization push and DHS re-screening orders. This path is less likely than a continued backlog but fits the sequence of earlier actions against birthright citizenship, migrant screening, and naturalized citizens.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Business Services -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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