Possible scenario
Limited Court Remedy
40% Chance
A federal court finds enough risk of disenfranchisement to require targeted relief, but avoids a sweeping takeover of Texas election administration. The most likely judicial path is a narrow order focused on notice, cure procedures, and provisional-ballot protections before the next voting deadline.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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