Possible scenario
Administrative Settlement
30% Chance
Texas officials move quickly to blunt the lawsuit by documenting that the DPS backlog has been cleared and by offering additional safeguards. Voting-rights groups accept some practical fixes while keeping pressure on the state for monitoring and public reporting.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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