Republican Recount Clawback

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Republicans focus on absentee, provisional, and machine-tabulation reviews in the closest North Carolina contests. The most likely effect is to narrow Democratic margins rather than overturn the overall story, but a limited reversal remains plausible if the margins are only a few thousand votes.

What it moves

Market volatility▲ up
10-year Treasury yield▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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