Possible scenario
House Majority Hinges
+0.1%
The North Carolina results become decisive because the national House tally is within only a handful of seats. In this scenario, investors react less to North Carolina itself and more to whether the next Congress has unified Republican control, Democratic control of the House, or a prolonged leadership fight.
What it moves
- Healthcare+0.4%
- Finance−0.2%
- Market volatility
- 10-year Treasury yield
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.