Possible scenario
Mixed Allocation Outcome
20% Chance
Democratic strategists accept Obama's argument that the map is larger but struggle to decide where marginal dollars should go. The result is a split strategy that produces gains in some contests while leaving other promising races underfunded.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.3%
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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