Possible scenario
Donor Gap Narrows
38% Chance
Obama's warning is treated by major Democratic donors as a credible alarm rather than routine campaign rhetoric. The Democratic National Committee, Senate Majority PAC and House Majority PAC improve late-cycle fundraising enough to compete in several Trump-won districts and at least two Republican-held Senate seats.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.3%
- Energy -0.3%
- Healthcare -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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