Oil And Shipping Shock

its chance, of the story’s futures

−1.7%on the S&P 500, if it happens

A lower-probability but higher-impact outcome is that the Houthis expand from military targets to Saudi energy infrastructure or Red Sea shipping. Even limited damage could produce a sharp near-term repricing because Saudi Arabia remains central to global spare oil capacity.

What it moves

Energy+3.3%
Consumer Services−2.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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