Contained Security Crackdown

Iranian security forces treat the killing as a localized insurgent attack and respond with raids, checkpoints, and arrests across Zahedan, Rask, and nearby border districts. The most likely outcome is a hard security response that does not materially widen beyond Sistan Baluchestan.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.