Possible scenario
Authorities Calm Market
25% Chance
Korean regulators and market operators move quickly to restore order through monitoring statements, possible short-selling scrutiny, and liquidity reassurance. The selloff produces a tactical rebound as investors cover shorts in beaten-down semiconductor names.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.7%
- Finance +0.8%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+1.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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